d_pavlos
@d_pavlos
Bio · written by the author
A technically-driven trader and educator specializing in Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci analysis, and pattern recognition across US equities and ETFs. They publish detailed, level-based trade plans with explicit entry, stop, and target zones — including both wins and losses — building a transparent, fully auditable track record. Their content bridges rigorous wave count methodology with practical risk management education, making complex technical frameworks accessible to serious retail traders.
ANTE Score
20
UnprovenTop 50% of rated creators
likely 20–46
Free · 3 follows · one push per new call.
31%
win rate · 45 decided
61%
trigger rate
+1.6%
average return
47
calls on the record
A win rate only counts calls that reached their entry. 47 were posted, 45 have settled. A high win rate at a low trigger rate means most of the calls never happened.
1-week read
Unverified▲ +1% (+1.4% vs mkt) over 36 calls · 47% up. Unverified, not part of any score, and not on the leaderboard.
Record shape
How to read this →- Accuracy31
- Expectancy53
- Falsifiability96
- Discipline100
- Track record44
Analyst note
Note written 2026-09-20 on 41 decided calls — the record now has 45. Numbers in the note are as of that date.
Every single call he publishes carries an entry, a target and a stop — 45 out of 45, the only perfect score on this platform — and 91% of his activity is verifiable. He also publishes his monthly account returns with the red months intact. The trade-off is that a feed this transparent records every loss: 27% of calls win, and the compensating fact is that his average loss is just -6% against winners at +17%.
Written by ANTE from the record, not by the author.
The record
47 on the record · 2 active · 14 wins · 31 losses · every call →
Showing 33 receipts of 47 calls — every call →
Sep 20, 26 · entry 1807.5 · open · 30d
Just put in a +10.99% day and closed 17 points off the high. Opened 1625. Closed 1791.82. That's a full-day trend move, not a gap that faded. It clears 1754 — the level that capped the entire September range. Above the 9 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 DMA and a bullish cloud. PTI 46. One warning: ATR is 6.5% of price. Size this like it moves, because it does. Trigger: close above 1807.50. Targets: 1835 / 2034 / 2354. The 52-week high at 2354 is the real prize and it's still 31% away.
Sep 20, 26 · entry 1036 · open · 30d
Reclaimed 1011 on Friday and closed on the high. This level rejected price every single time since August. Friday it didn't. Stack underneath: 9 EMA > 21 EMA > 50 SMA > 200 DMA. Price above a bullish cloud. Wave 5 in progress, PTI 36. This is a reclaim inside a range, not a breakout. MU is still 19% under its 52-week high. Trigger: daily close above 1036. Targets: 1069 / 1101 / 1149. Playing for 1101.
Sep 13, 26 · entry 328 · open · 38d
Entry zone: 325-331. Targets: 384.56, 410.00.
Sep 1, 26 · entry 83.39 · open · 50d
Finishing bounce. Five waves down off $112 into $65.90. Wave 4 correction, not bottom. Bounce pressing 0.618 at $83.39. Already through 0.382 ($76.39) and 0.50 ($79.89). Internal count on final leg. Cloud thin. Rejection at $83.39 → short, stop $85.10. Lose $79.89 on close → add. Break $65.90 → $64.15 opens, extension $52.83. Close above $83.39 is wrong. Wave 5 down is the trade.
Aug 30, 26 · entry 493.73 · open · 52d
Long on the weekly. Nine weeks ago was −37% off wave 5 top, now taken back 80% of decline. Every weekly MA back under price, first time since last October. 9 EMA 461.27, 21 EMA 437.94, 50 SMA 444.86, 200-wk 396.29. Above 477.40 correction stops arguing. 556.41 is record high. 2.27 R/R from 493.73.
Aug 10, 26 · entry 213 · open · 71d
Hit -2.9% on semi flush, bought back at 9 EMA. Still accumulating on pullbacks. Trend intact as long as 206 (50-day) holds. Lose it, stepping aside. Reclaim 224 → 235, then 250.
Jul 19, 26 · entry 420 · open · 94d
Most see failure. The count says wave 5 isn't finished — it's resetting. The pullback is landing right where it should: the 416–424 GET demand cluster, stacked with wave 4 support. Entry zone 416–424. First target 455.64, then 486.88. Invalidation if it blows through 413.
Jul 14, 26 · entry 221.5 · open · 99d
MS reclaimed the 20SMA with: RSI cooled to 49, Volume contracting, 50SMA up 21% in 50 sessions. A financials leader sitting just 3.6% from all-time highs. High-quality Wave 4 entry. Wave 5 does the rest. Entry: $220–223. T1: $230.50. T2: $245. R:R 2.1:1. $230.50 is the first stop — $245 if Wave 5 extends.
Jul 14, 26 · entry 382.5 · open · 99d
CDNS is coiling on the 20SMA: Volume-dry pullback, RSI reset to 47, Just 7.8% below the 52-week high, Strongly trending EDA name. Textbook Wave 4. The quiet before Wave 5. Entry: $380–385. T1: $403. T2: $425. R:R 2.6:1. Tight coil, defined risk — $403 first, $425 behind it.
Jul 14, 26 · entry 310 · open · 99d
Wave 4 gift. Shallow pullback. Contracting volume. 20SMA reclaimed. Inside a steeply rising 50SMA trend. Textbook Wave 4 behavior before the next leg. Only 6.8% off the 52-week high. Low-risk re-entry zone. Entry: $308–312. T1: $334. T2: $352. R:R 2.5:1. Wave 5 targets $334 first, $352 next. The trend does the heavy lifting.
Jul 10, 26 · entry 631.48 · open · 103d
Entry: 631.48 reclaim. Stop: 577.07 (reversal low). Targets: 665, 700.
Jun 25, 26 · entry 444.13 · open · 118d
Trigger: daily close above 444.13. Stop: below 411.62. Targets: 464.22, 484.31, 496.73, 516.82.
Note written 2026-09-20 on 41 decided calls — the record now has 45. Numbers in the note are as of that date.
ANTE Analyst Note
AI-written from the record + public posts · medium confidence — opinion, not the verified scoreThe Record
Small losses, thin edgeForty-one decided calls, 11 wins to 30 losses, ANTE Score 16 in a 16–42 interval. Coverage is 91% and not flagged partial. Average win +17%, average loss -6%, and — remarkably — the worst single call lost 14.3%, the tightest downside tail in this entire cohort. Thirty of 41 settled on a stop. The directional measure reads +1%: on these numbers the edge is real but slim, and the sample is still young.
The Craft
Complete, alwaysAll 45 calls are US equities and all 45 state entry, target and stop — a completeness rate nobody else here reaches. The framework is Elliott Wave and Fibonacci with pre-market context: levels, invalidation, the 50-day, where the count breaks. He writes them out in prose with the numbers embedded, and he names the count he had to apologise for as readily as the one that worked.
The Risk
Tightest tail hereOne hundred percent stop coverage, and the consequence is visible in the tail: the worst decided call cost -14.3% where most creators here have a -99% somewhere in their record. Thirty of 41 calls closed on a stop, so he is stopped out often and cheaply. That is a deliberate trade — a lower hit rate bought in exchange for never taking a catastrophic loss. It is the most conservative risk profile on the platform.
The Style
Honest, heavily funnelledOf 423 tweets, 167 are commentary and 123 — nearly three in ten — are promotion for a dashboard, a focus list and paid channels, including summed-return claims taken at best exit. Against that, he posts his own monthly account tape with the losing months shown: -12.17%, -9.69%, all of it. Engagement is very low. The transparency and the funnel are both unusually pronounced.
Education & Community
Genuinely reflectiveForty-seven educational posts, and the best are about behaviour rather than patterns: "the gap is not the trade, the hold is", what a red pre-market screen actually asks you. He publishes wins and losses on the same list, which is the habit that makes a record worth reading. For a beginner learning invalidation-first thinking, this is a useful feed to follow.
The Match
For risk-first tradersYou'll like this if you want every call stated completely, care more about capping the worst outcome than maximising the best, and can accept being stopped out two times in three. You'll get less from it if you want big winners — the best call here returned 41% — or if a feed where three in ten posts sell something wears on you.
- Cadence
- Daily pre-market notes and level updates
- Assets
- US equities and ETFs only (45 of 45 calls)
- Horizon
- Days to weeks
- Plan format
- Entry + target + stop on 100% of calls
- Strategy
- Elliott Wave and Fibonacci with pre-market level context
- Direction clarity
- if-then
- Monetisation
- Dashboard, weekly focus list, paid alert channels (29% of posts)
- Effort to follow
- medium
- Best-fit reader
- Risk-first equity traders who want invalidation stated before entry
- Followers
- 16,824
Based on 41 decided calls, 91% coverage, 423 posts read · through 2026-09-20.
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ANTE is a record of public calls and their market outcomes — not financial advice, and never a recommendation to follow or trade with anyone.