Score audit
capricekayem @capricekayem
Every input is listed below — the score is the Wilson lower bound of the win rate over the decided calls, so anyone can recompute it. Methodology
Resolved calls (67)
18 wins + 49 losses = the decided base; 0 breakevens are resolved but carry no win/loss signal, so they sit outside it.
“$NVDA 237.5C 10/09 1.20 entry lotto for me im out under 236 😛”
“$MU 1100C 10/09 1.28 entry lotto for me”
“$NBIS 260C 10/09 4.75 entry”
“$AMZN 257.5C 10/07 1.04 entry lotto for me”
“$AMZN 252.5C 9/30 .66 entry lotto for me”
“$AAPL 337.5C 9/30 1.15 entry”
“$TSLA 350C 9/30 1.80 entry lotto for me 😛”
“$AAPL 337.5C 9/25 .65 lotto for me since im on vacation 😛”
“$SPCX 150C 9/18 2.20 entry”
“$AMD 515C 9/16 3.30 entry lotto for me 😛”
“$NVDA 210C 9/14 1.85 entry lotto for me 😛”
“$MSFT 495C 9/11 1.45 actually here is entry lotto for me 😘 out under 495”
“$TSLA 365C 9/11 3.10 entry”
“$TSLA 375C 9/11 1.56 entry this is a lotto for me 😛”
“$MU 1040C 9/09 3.00 entry lotto for me 😛”
“$MU 1000C 9/04 1.30 entry this is a lotto for me”
“$PLTR 185C 9/04 2.80 entry im out under 184”
“$MSFT 515C 9/04 2.60 entry”
“$Meta 595C 9/02 1.88 entry im out under 590”
“$TSLA 360C 8/31 1.78 entry im out under 353”
“$META 567.5P 9/02 4.85 entry im out above 574”
“$MSFT 517.5C 8/28 .98 entry this is a lotto for me i plan to hold to 520 and 525 💕 im out under 517”
“$MU 930C 8/28 2.00 entry im out under 915 i plan to hold till they are $600”
“$META 587.5C 8/28 2.00 entry”
“$MU 955C 8/28 3.80 entry 😛 friday lotto”
“$NVDA 220C 8/28 2.75 entry”
“$TSLA 350C 8/26 2.80 entry i love lottos 💕”
“$MSTR 132C 8/28 2.48 entry im out under 127 this is my lotto for crypto bros”
“$TSLA 360C 8/26 1.18 entry im out under 351 💕”
“$MU 920C 8/24 1.40 entry im out under 910 ok my account will be gone if this doesn’t work and OF started”
“$MU 930C 8/24 1.16 entry i plan to hold to 930 and 940 im out under 914 if you like to swing trade i have a setup for you too comment “swing” for it”
“$NVDA 222.5C 8/07 2.80 entry i like the 8/05 expiration too 😘”
“$MSFT 505C 8/05 2.25 entry 😘”
“$NVDA 210C 7/24 .67 friday lotto 💕 for more”
“$NVDA 207.5C 7/22 1.00 entry my plan is to target 208 and 210 i still have my $MU swing 💕”
“$MU 900C 7/17 1.05 entry”
“$AAPL 312.5C 7/08 1.15 i want to hold to 314 at least 😘”
“$SPCX 180C 6/26 1.25 fill”
“$AMD 560C 6/26 5.17 fill”
“$AMZN 240C 6/24 .72 fill lotto for me 😘”
“$AAPL 297.5C 6/17 1.50 fill i want to hold to 298 at least 💕”
“$AAPL 295C 6/15 1.85 fill i like 6/17 300C too 💕 i plan to hold to 298 and 300 i want to buy more at 296 and 295”
“$TSLA 390C 6/12 $SPCX lotto time i plan to use 432.5C 6/18 😘 my stop loss is 385 my targets are 400”
“$MU 1015C 6/12 2.58 fill 💕 my stop loss is 912 i plan to hold to 930 and 940”
“$NFLX 83C 6/18 1.47 fill i plan to hold to 83 or higher”
“$TSLA 450C 6/18 2.40 fill”
“$MSFT 500C 7/17 1.15 fill 💕”
“$LLY 1500 7/17 2.70 fill lotto for me 😘”
“$NVDA 215C 6/5 2.40 entry i like $AMD more but this is a good lotto”
“$AMD 550C 6/5 1.95 entry”
“$TSLA 432.5C 6/03 2.25 - 2.05 I plan to hold this for a huge move 💕”
“$META 622.5C 6/03 1.29 entry im holding to 622 and 624”
“$IBM 350C 6/12 6.34 I like 6/5 340C too”
“$MU 1000C 5/29 3.90 fill Stop loss i plan to hold to 935 and 960 deleting my account if im wrong”
“$MU 880C 5/22 .96 fill this is a lotto i plan to take a large trade over the next few days 💕”
“$AMD 450C 5/22 2.13 fill”
“$META 620C 5/20 2.40 fill IM looking stop loss is 609 just a lotto for me 💕 Target 615”
“$MSFT 440C 5/29 .98 fill im looking for a breakout over 429 to hold to 436 💕”
“$AMZN 265C 5/18 2.45 fill 💕”
“$MSFT 420C 5/15 1.40 fill targeting 417 and 420 😘”
“$NFLX 89C 5/15 .72 fill lotto for me 😘 target 90 and 91”
“$GOOGL 395C 5/15 3.15 fill im holding to 395 and 397 😘 stop loss 390”
“$META 610C 5/13 2.20 fill”
“$NFLX 87C 5/15 1.20 fill targeting 87.55 💕”
“$HIMS 26C 5/15 1.50 fill GLP1 lotto 😘”
“$META 610C 5/06 1.40 fill target 608”
“$AMD 465C 5/08 2.30 lotto for me 😘”
Not adjudicable (2)
The platform declines to grade these: the price data available to us is coarser than the trade (spot FX and metals have no intraday feed, and a stop tighter than a daily bar cannot be adjudicated honestly), or the option contract has no bars. They are excluded from the score and from coverage entirely — not counted as losses.
“$MSFT 509C 9/2 4.20 entry lotto for me 💕”
“$AMD 547.5C 7/14 4.55 entry 💕 I like the 580C for 7/17 too”
Falsifiable, not yet decided (0)
Open or untriggered — these count against coverage until they resolve.
No falsifiable level (40)
Calls with no stated target or stop can't be scored — they feed the unverified 1-Week Read instead and count against coverage. Not listed individually.
Call text is shown as captured at seed time; deleting the post on X does not remove it here. This audit is a record of public calls and their market outcomes — not financial advice, and never a recommendation. Dispute an attribution: claim this profile to correct it.