Score audit

babyfolio @babyfolio

ANTE Building from 5 decided calls · 80% win rate · 36% coverage · v1.1

Every input is listed below — the score is the Wilson lower bound of the win rate over the decided calls, so anyone can recompute it. Methodology

Resolved calls (5)

4 wins + 1 losses = the decided base; 0 breakevens are resolved but carry no win/loss signal, so they sit outside it.

2026-04-14$CRDOLONGWin +34.3%target hit
entry $148.88 · target $200 · stop

$CRDO is so underappreciated. It feels like $NBIS post $MSFT deal, where the grasp of what's to come isn't fully comprehended. $CRDO entering optics isn't new, but it was never priced in, the new acquisition proves it's not just noise, it's real TAM unlocked, and we all know how big it is thanks to @aleabitoreddit I'm long $CRDO and believe it should be trading at $200 TODAY.

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-04-13$CRDOSELLoptionLoss -728.6%timed out
entry $132.3 · target · stop

Selling $CRDO $140 calls for Apr24 on all my shares Premium: $7

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-03-30$NBISSELLoptionWin +99.8%timed out
entry $90.34 · target · stop

Sold 10 $NBIS puts of April 17 $85 (CSPs) Premium: $5.2 It's a small bet that we'll have peace talks progression, and if not, it's like buying $NBIS at $80.

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-03-23$IRENSELLoptionWin +99.4%timed out
entry $42.03 · target · stop

As part of my documentation of option selling: Sold $IREN $50 Apr17 calls Premium $1.8

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-03-23$NBISSELLoptionWin +99.8%timed out
entry $115.3 · target · stop

As I said, I'll document my selling. This is kind of an aggressive one. Sold $NBIS April 17 $100 puts Premium $4.1 Let me know if you would prefer this on a different format

Original post ↗archived at seed time

Falsifiable, not yet decided (0)

Open or untriggered — these count against coverage until they resolve.

No falsifiable level (13)

Calls with no stated target or stop can't be scored — they feed the unverified 1-Week Read instead and count against coverage. Not listed individually.

Call text is shown as captured at seed time; deleting the post on X does not remove it here. This audit is a record of public calls and their market outcomes — not financial advice, and never a recommendation. Dispute an attribution: claim this profile to correct it.

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